Our Case Studies
Government Policy Risk
Canadian investor concerned about U.S. government policy risk
One of Canada’s largest financial institutions was uncertain what the inauguration of President Donald Trump would mean for its investments in the United States. In particular, it was interested in the potential impact of the proposed renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the possible adoption of a border adjustment tax.
Foresight began by determining how the financial institution was impacted by current U.S. trade and tax policy.
Second, we identified potential changes to U.S. government policy of relevance to our client by drawing upon a combination of open-source data and human intelligence that we collected on the ground in Washington, D.C., as well as through our detailed understanding of how the Executive and Legislative Branches make trade and tax policy.
Third, we analyzed how these potential changes could impact the company’s investments under various scenarios.
As a result of Foresight’s political risk assessment, the Canadian financial institution was able to make better decisions based on our comprehensive analysis of the risks to its investments posed by U.S. trade and tax policy.